Summary

The Institute for Zionist Strategies (IZS) is implementable, and aggressively marketed
devoted to presenting the Israeli public and to the decision makers, opinion shapers, and
its policy makers with creative, public at large
implementable programs that are currently
unavailable. The mission of the IZS is to The IZS will help liberate the public
help insure that the State of Israel will discourse in Israeli society from the self-
continue to be both a Jewish and a viable imposed constraints of the prevalent dogma
state in the future. The existence of a Jewish and internalized notions of the politically
state in another two or three generations is correct. Israeli society needs to be freed from
not self-evident Our creative and strategic the acceptance of double standards so that
plans will focus on the long-range challenges we can become comfortable asserting our
threatening the character of the State of Israel own national purpose as a sovereign Jewish
as a Jewish state. Examples of these community.
challenges are:
The IZS has assembled a group of bright,
• The drafting of a constitution which original, and creative thinkers who are
provides for the continuation of Israel as a already working together to guide and
Jewish democratic state. supervise program development. They
include academicians, former military and
• Confronting the demographic dangers even security decision makers, former (and future)
within the boundaries of pre-1967 Israel. government officials, and private, concerned
individuals prominent in their professional
fields. To lead the International Board, we
• Halting the illegal Arab construction which have enlisted the enthusiastic support and
continues unabated because the government backing of Natan Sharansky, Moshe Arens,
lacks the Zionist vision and political and Meir Rosenne.
courage to stop it.
The founding Chairman of IZS is Israel
• Developing a generation of public leaders Harel, who established the Council of
with the knowledge, conviction, and YESHA twenty-five years ago. Harel is one
courage to effectively defend the of Israel’s most original thinkers and is
interests of the Jewish state. accepted and respected by people in all
segments of Israeli life. Harel has already
• Planning long term strategic contributed much of an enduring nature to
programs for ending or permanently our society.
mitigating the one-hundred thirty
year old Arab-Israeli conflict.

Uniquely, the programs developed by the

IZS will be thoroughly tested, fully Joel H. Golovensky Max Singer

1
What the IZS Will Accomplish

The Institute hosted a seminar on strategic

challenges confronting Israel, with (from left to
right) the Chief of Staff of the IDF, General Moshe
Yaalon, Israel Harel, Herzl Makov (Dir. Begin
Center), Prof. Moshe Arens (former Defense
Minister and Foreign Minister), and Brig. General
(ret) Yoash (Chatto) Zidon, former MK and ace
pilot in the Israel Air Force.

The Institute for Zionist Strategies will devote wishing to live here, to promote and protect
itself to developing, testing, and articulating Jewish welfare and interests, and to promote
alternative strategic options to strengthen the welfare of its citizens.
Israel as a democratic state for the Jewish
nation. It will formulate plans and strategic • The Jewish state has the natural right to
options to resolve, mitigate or alleviate the live in peace with the mutual recognition
one hundred thirty-year Arab-Israeli struggle. and respect of its neighbors.
It will disseminate these strategic options to
the opinion molders in the media and The Institute for Zionist Strategies accepts
universities and will systematically and as an axiom that no apology or appeasement
effectively work to educate the government, is necessary or appropriate for the realization
the Knesset and the public. of the Zionist principles articulated above.
Because Israel lives in the real world where
The strategic programs developed and morality and justice are not always
adopted by the Institute for Zionist paramount considerations, compromises and
Strategies are rooted in the conviction that: accommodations on external conflicts are
dictated by practical considerations, not
• The Jewish People have a morally moral imperative. However, those
inalienable and unchallengeable right to a compromises must safeguard central Jewish
sovereign Jewish state within the Land of national interests, must be mutual, and must
Israel. be structured to survive over time.

• The Jewish state exists to develop the

Jewish culture, religion, and history, to
welcome Jews from all over the world

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Why the IZS Is Needed

1. A Constitution for a Jewish State

In recent years, increasing efforts have been

devoted to the adoption of a written
constitution. Various groups, including the
Israel Democracy Institute and Arab NGOs,
have submitted draft constitutions in whole
or in part to the Knesset Constitution, Law
and Justice Committee. The very best of
those submissions preserve only part of the
Jewish character of the State of Israel. They
separate the State from the Jewish
communities of the Diaspora and, while
mandating equality and clear rights for the
minorities, they lack operative imperatives Sixty (60) invited individuals, with extensive
for preserving and promoting the Jewish knowledge and insight attended a seminar to evaluate
the need and nature of a constitution for the Jewish
character of the State. State. Shown above are (L to R) Chairman Israel
Harel, Advocate Joel H. Golovensky, and Former
Through great and sustained efforts, we have Chief Justice Meir Shamgar
drafted and presented a complete, original
constitution for consideration by the Knesset, This figure does not include 200,000-
which does appropriately define, protect, 300,000 Arabs illegally living within and
and advance the Jewish character of the still entering the green line. Already, 29%
State. The constitution text also makes the of the first grade student population are Arab
legislature more responsive to the public and pupils (and 35%, non-Jewish) while more
its needs, and insures that the Supreme Court than 50% of the Arab population is under
will conform to the accepted judicial role. the age of 20.
A copy of our proposed constitution is
available upon request and will soon be Arab Knesset members, with assistance from
posted to our website. extreme Jewish intellectuals, have introduced
bills to cancel the Hatikvah national anthem
2. The demographic danger within the and to eliminate the Magen David from the
Green Line national flag.

In 1948, upon the establishment of the State, While these measures will fail now, they
the Arab population constituted less than will find increasing support each year. The
18% of the total. Today, despite the aliya of IZS is developing programs to meet this
more than 3 million Jews since 1949, the demographic challenge. Our solutions will
Arab percentage of the population continues be constructive and will avoid dislocation
to rise and presently constitutes 20% of the or injury to the members of the Arab
total - 1,300,000 people. minority.

3
Strategic work groups have been created that In earlier times, Israeli political parties,
are researching in detail the following strongly rooted in ideological conviction,
aspects, among others, of the demographic developed their respective policy alternatives
issue: by working and reworking ideas that
emanated from a number of official and non-
•The connection between level of education, official sources. The old Labor party
socio-economic level and childbirth rate maintained a quasi-academic institution, Beit
of population groups in Israel. Berl, which tested and fleshed out ideas
before adoption (or being dropped) as party
•Comparison and analysis of models as to policy. Similarly, Mapam had Givat Chaviva
how liberal European countries are dealing and Achdut Ha’Avodah had Ephal. Today,
with foreign emigration in general and the the parties have moved far from this
Moslem growth in particular. paradigm, and the government has failed to
fill the void.
•Details as to the explosive growth in
numbers and illegal residents among the To the extent that it exists at all in Israel
Bedouin Arabs in the Negev. today, the serious work of national and
international policy formulation takes place
primarily in universities and think tanks.
3. The need for well-prepared, creative Almost all of these "independent" bodies
strategic proposals share a leftist political orientation and agenda.
They are heavily supported by foreign
The government of Israel must develop organizations such as the European Union,
alternative long term strategic and foreign and foundations, such as the Ford
policies for the Arab-Israeli conflict. The Foundation, which have anti-Zionist agendas.
security fence against terror and the policy It is therefore inevitable that the policies and
of unilateral ’convergence’ (hitkansut) are recommendations emerging from these elitist
two recent examples pointing to this need. institutes are not supportive (to say the least)
Without judging the advisability of either of the interests of a Jewish state.
policy, it is nevertheless true that both were Unfortunately, some of these institutes
made by a narrow, ad hoc, restricted group exercise a very strong influence on Israeli
of people without any systemized process policy and public life.
of deliberation, as National Security Council
head, General Giora Eiland has just recently Today there is no first-rate centrist oriented
revealed. Each program was developed policy institution dealing on a practical level
haphazardly, without thorough staff work to with the very real existential problems. As
formulate a complete and viable program; a result, the political dialogue is dominated
without exploring and testing, in advance, by those institutions that still support the
the nature and significance of competing tragically failed solutions of the past. Here
interests and forces. and there, alternative ad-hoc proposals are

4
put forward by individual figures, but they 4. Intellectual and analytical discourse
sprout up erratically and quickly wither. free of artificial constraints
There is no institution to nourish them and
to encourage them. Those individuals who Strategic thinkers in Israel must resist the
seek to fashion policy with a Zionist danger of being overwhelmed by feelings
orientation are today isolated and homeless. of foreign rejection. Israeli policy debate has
been constrained by feelings of national
As a result, for the most part, people at the weakness, of self-doubt, and of
center of the political spectrum are confined oversensitivity to the anti-Israel attitudes
to a critique of existing and proposed prevailing in Europe and at the UN. Foreign
programs without offering alternatives or, mindsets premised on appeasement of the
as in the case of the security fence and of Arabs have invaded Israeli thinking.
unilateral disengagement, they end up International disapproval (and sometimes,
adopting these programs with caveats, hatred) of Israel is clouding Israel’s own
qualifications, and revisions. moral self-image and distorting its vision of
strategic promis.
Ask any Zionist at the political center what
policy he advocates, and he will stare blankly. The Institute for Zionist Strategies will help
He knows what he opposes, but he has no open the Israeli debate to solutions based on
alternative to the ill founded government Israel s strengths, on the justice of Israel .s
programs being promoted and implemented. position, and on a forthright recognition of
Arab extremism and often barbaric behavior
Twelve years after the disastrous inception - all of which are currently barred from
of the Oslo process that ended in the death mainstream discourse because of the moral
of some 1,500 Israelis and the wounding and confusion and hypocrisy dominating our
maiming of some 10,000 others, this dramatic world.
imbalance in formulating the national agenda
has reached the point of national danger. Examples of this controlled and contrived
Today s policy decisions, perhaps more so discourse are set forth in the Appendix. While
than at any time since 1947-48, will Israel must pay attention to what the world
determine the health, well being and future thinks and says, it dare not believe or accept
of the Jewish state and its ties to the Jewish it. One cannot assume that anti-Israel thinking
Diaspora. In order to break the hold of the - no matter how immoral and irrational - will
dominant "correct" view, however, the cease to exist; at the same time, we must not
government and the Israeli public must have assume that such thinking is natural,
concrete options before them that are inevitable, or permanent. We can continue
informed by different values and to speak truths even when few seem to want
understanding. to hear. Our past tradition and our destiny
demand no less.

5
5. Young Leadership program in the world, with a density of 350 people
per square kilometer. 85% of the Jewish
The IZS has established a young leadership population is concentrated on the
program consisting of twenty-five Fellows Mediterranean coastline, where the
who have been meeting on a bi-weekly basis, population density reaches 570 people per
since December 2005. These talented, square kilometer. The vast majority (80%)
specially selected individuals attend lectures of territories now being held in reserve for
by prominent experts and participate in a expansion of future generations are to be
series of studies about the pressing issues found in the Negev and the Galilee.
on our national agenda.
However, in recent years, these reserved
They then meet in small groups with the lands are diminishing at a rapid pace because
tutors to pursue a deeper analysis of the of illegal encroachment by Arabs in the
issues. The program includes a work project Galilee and by the Bedouins in the Negev.
in which they do research papers on these This massive land grab is in great measure
policy issues. Some of the papers will be the result of organized activity financed by
published in the hope of influencing policy hostile groups. The IZS has already initiated
decisions. We anticipate that a spirit of a study of this threat to future generations
community will develop within the group, and will embark on a major public initiative.
aged 28-35, and that they will continue to
network with each other and with the later b. Illegal Aliens. Until recently, there were
classes. The program includes stipends for more than 350,000 foreign workers in Israel,
research work. fully a quarter million of whom were illegal.
Among the issues to be studied are: The government established a special
Assimilation in the Diaspora and Jewish immigration police force, which, as a result
Identity; Connections Between Jews in Israel of impressive motivation (some say,
and in the Diaspora; IDF — Professional or excessive zeal), managed in short order to
People’s Army; the Relationship of Religion expel a substantial majority of the illegal
and State; the Jewish Character of the State foreign workers. At the same time, illegal
of Israel; Radical Islam — its Spread in Arabia Arab aliens, strongly motivated by the
and its Attitudes to Western Society and Palestinian "right of return", have infiltrated
Israel; Illegal Possession of State Lands; into Israel from Judea, Samaria and Gaza,
Economic Gaps within the Society; as well as substantial numbers from Jordan
Examining whether there is a Transformation (many of whom came on tourist visas and
from Jewish Culture to "Israeli" Culture. then stayed on when the visas expired). The
Central Bureau of Statistics estimates that
6. Other areas of activity there are 120,000 illegal Arab residents
presently in Israel, the Israel Security Service
a. Encroached public lands. Israel is already estimates 200,000, and a well-known
one of the most densely populated countries geographer-demographer, Professor Arnon

6
 c. Olim influence. Israel
Example of illegally built Arab houses on reserved public
lands that overlook major Jerusalem highway has been blessed with a
growing number of Jewish
immigrants (olim) who
have achieved high levels
of success in their
respective fields -- be it
academic, professional or
commercial. While they
contribute much to Israeli
society as a whole, their
voices are notably absent
from the political and policy
discourse. Whether it is
because of language,
cultural or historical
Sofer of Haifa University, asserts that the barriers, many of these New Olim are too
real number is more than 300,000. This isolated socially and have limited interaction
numerical estimate of 300,000 illegal aliens with the greater Israeli society.
coincides with the conclusions reached by
the College for National Security of the Israel The IZS has initiated a program similar to
Defense Forces in a 2002 study of this its Young Leadership program which will
problem. gather English speaking Olim together with
Israelis from different generations and
These illegal Arab residents have increased religious orientations. Regular monthly
the number of Arabs living inside pre-1967 meetings will be conducted with guest
Israel (the Green Line) by a factor of 12%. speakers and experts who will discuss the
Some of these illegal aliens, in contrast to latest issues confronting Israeli policy
other foreign workers, have infiltrated for makers. We anticipate that these efforts will
the express purpose of committing terrorist be important on many levels. Socially, it
acts. Some are also significantly involved in will diminish the isolation and the social
criminal activity, which impacts on society barriers. It will inform and educate
and places an increased burden on the Police. participants on challenges confronting Israel.
The Institute for Zionist Strategies is studying It will empower them to exercise effective
the numbers and patterns of illegal leadership roles.
immigration and will present alternative
programs to the government for eliminating The IZS believes that these individuals will
this problem, just as the government has influence the public dialogue and constitute
already gone far to eliminate the problem of a force for constructive change.
the illegal "foreign" worker.

7
International Board of Governors Projects Committee

The Board will supervise the financial and The Committee of Project Advisors and
administrative operations of the Institute and Fellows is composed of first-rate intellects
will set fundamental policy directions and from Israel and abroad in the fields of military
priorities. Independent Auditors will report planning, international politics, geography,
to the Board and to the Institute management. demography, International law, history,
The Board will assist in securing the political science, literature, economics,
necessary resources for the Institute’s annual administration, and futurism. The Committee
budget. Board members are ex officio is the brain trust of the Institute. It is in
members of the Projects Committee, and, as cooperation with this forum that the Institute
such, are invited to all deliberative sessions management will decide what policies should
and events. The initial members are: be explored, which of those policies should
be developed into implementable programs,
Moshe Arens whether the programs are ready for group
Joel H. Golovensky testing, and what educational methods to
Israel Harel employ in the marketing and lobbying for
Meir Rosenne the programs. It is anticipated that Committee
Natan Sharansky members will accept contract engagements
Max Singer to work on specific programs when available.

8
Current members of the Projects Pinchas-Cohen, Chava - Poet
Committee: Porat, Yehoshua - Prof. (Islamic Studies)
Rosenne, Meir - PhD. (Law)
Rachav, Uri - Rafael
Amidror, Yaakov - Major General,
Ravid, Yitzchak - PhD. (Mathematics)
Intelligence (res.)
Schild, Ozer - Prof. (Psychology)
Arens, Moshe - Prof. (Aeronautical Sharansky, Natan - MK
Engineering) Shtruzman, Uri - Judge (ret.)
Aridor, Yoram - Esq. Widlanski, Michael - PhD.
Bell, Abraham - PhD. (Law) (Near Eastern Studies)
Cohen, Asher - PhD. (Political Science) Wise, Michael L. - PhD. (Physics)
Zidon, Yoash (Chatto) - Colonel,
Diskin, Avraham - Prof. (Political Science)
Air Force (res.)
Diskin, Channa - PhD. (Political Science)
Gelber, Yoav - Prof. (History)
Godson, Dean - The Spectator
Gwirtzman, Chaim - Prof. (Geography)
Haas, Elisha - Prof. (Life Sciences)
Helman, Dubi - Colonel, Paratroopers (res.)
Henshke, David - Prof. (Talmud)
Hershkowitz, Daniel - Rabbi, Prof.
(Mathematics)
Herzog, Yitzchak - PhD. (Law)
Hisdai, Yaakov — PhD. (History, Law)
Kazhdan, David - Prof. (Mathematics)
Koppel, Moshe - Prof. (Mathematics)
Lifshitz, Berachyahu - Prof. (Law)
Lord, Amnon — Editor, Makor Rishon
Merzbach, Eli - Prof. (Mathematics)
Nirenstein, Fiamma - Panorama

9
Israeli Institutions that Publish Funding and Support
Research on National Policy
The sole sources of our funding are from
A description of the Israeli institutions that private contributions. We accept no funds
publish papers and host seminars on issues from the government or from any political
of national policy is available upon request. groups.

With the exception of three such institutions If you agree with us that there are serious
(all formed with "liberal" objectives), not challenges to the State of Israel and to the
one develops actual programs that are ready preservation of its Jewish character, then
for implementation. And none works to join us in our efforts. We would appreciate
translate policy recommendations into your help in our work.
government action and public consensus.
We are a not-for-profit organization situated
.Only the Institute for Zionist Strategies in Jerusalem. Tax free contributions under
develops strategic programs ready for IRS Sec. 501(c)(3) can be sent to:
deployment that reflect a balanced approach
to empirical reality, rooted in a strong and The Hudson Institute
confident Zionist belief in our People and Attn. Ken Weinstein
its Future. 1015 15th St. NW,
Washington DC, 20005
Unless our voice is heard and our efforts
advanced, the people who have refused to Please designate "Israel project" either on
discuss programs to insure a Jewish majority the check or in the cover letter
and who have brought us Oslo and Geneva,
will continue to set the national agenda and
thus shape the future character of Israel.

10
Curriculum Vitae of Founders Appendices
began at the Shalom Hartman Institute is the
formulation of a comprehensive covenant,
including the formulation of detailed
legislative proposals, to regulate the joint
existence of secular and religious populations
in Israel in various areas of disagreement
such as Shabbat, conversion, military draft,
burial, and the law of return. Professor Ruth
Gavison and Rabbi Yaakov Meidan worked
for three years on the document, with the
assistance of the Forum for Critical Feedback.
It was comprised of approximately 25 people
from the fields of academia, public life,
religion and communication. The document
has been signed and will be distributed to
the Israeli public.
ISRAEL HAREL
Israel Harel chairs the Association of the
Israel Harel founded the Institute for Paratroopers who Liberated Jerusalem. He
Religious Zionism at the Shalom Hartman is a member of the Israeli-American Forum.
Institute in Jerusalem. he was also Director
of the Institute’s Lay Leadership Program Mr. Harel writes a weekly column for
For six years,. Haaretz. The column is distributed with the
Israeli edition of Haaretz / Herald Tribune.
In 1980 Mr. Harel founded the Council of His Op-Ed articles have been published by
Jewish Communities in Judea, Samaria and The New York Times, GUARDIAN and
Gaza, which he headed until 1995, He also other newspapers around the world. He has
founded the journal Nekuda, which he edited published several books, including The Lion’s
from 1980-1996. Mr. Harel is the initiator Gate and The Valor of the Heart, and has
and founder of The Forum for National written essays on social, religious and
Responsibility. This Forum, operating since political topics for various journals. His
1999 under the auspices of the Rabin Center, program for a Regional Settlement , which
created the Kinneret Covenant, a document in essence is the participation of Egypt and
of understandings and basic agreements Jordan in transferring sufficient territories to
between the major sectors in Israeli Jewish the Palestinians so that they can establish a
society. This document is the first of its kind viable state, was recently published in London
since the establishment of the State. by the Royal Institute of International Affairs
( Chatham House ).
Mr. Harel initiated and chaired the Gavison- The Harel family resides in Ofra, in the
Meidan project. The heart of the project that Binyamin region.

11
 Mr. Golovensky practiced law in New York
for 20 years and was a managing partner of
a Manhattan law firm before moving to Israel
with his wife (Vera) and two daughters (Yael
and Michal) in 1987. In New York, he was
active in Jewish life, serving as Vice
President and President-Elect of the Board
of Jewish Education for the New York
Metropolitan Area.

In Israel, Mr. Golovensky practiced law and

was active as a lay leader in the Jewish
Agency for Israel, serving on the Executive
of the Joint Authority for Jewish Zionist
Education and on the Board of Governors
Education Committee. He also wrote a bi-
weekly column for Haaretz, articles for
Maariv, the Jerusalem Post, and the
Jerusalem Report, and was a pioneer
JOEL H. GOLOVENSKY mediator, serving on the panel of the Supreme
Court.
Mr. Golovensky was born in New York City
and was raised in New Rochelle, NY. He From September 1999-September 2002, Mr.
attended the Westchester Day School, Golovensky served as Director of the
founded by his father, the late Rabbi David American Jewish Joint Distribution
I. Golovensky and Yeshiva University High Committee s Russian Department in
School in Manhattan. Mr. Golovensky Moscow.
received a BA from the University of
Pennsylvania (magna Cum Laude, Phi Beta Mr. Golovensky continues the practice of
Kappa), a JD from the Harvard Law School, international law.
and a LLM from the New York University
School of Law.

12
 He is the author of The REAL World Order:
Zones of Peace/Zones of Turmoil (with
Aaron Wildavsky), Chatham House, N.J.,
rev d Ed. 1996, which won the 1996
Grawemeyer Award for Ideas Improving
World Order, and of Passage to a Human
World: the Dynamics of Creating Global
Wealth (foreword by Irving Kristol), 2d ed.
Transaction Publishers, N.J. 1989.

He also has written numerous articles for

Commentary, National Interest, Public
Interest, N.Y. Times Magazine, Readers
Digest, Atlantic Monthly, and newspapers.
Born in New York City, Mr. Singer
graduated from Columbia College (B.A.
1953) and the Harvard Law School (J.D.
1956). Before founding the Hudson Institute
he served in the U.S. Army Reserve
(ACDUTRA) and worked for the American
MAX SINGER Law Institute and the General Counsel s
Office of the U.S. Atomic Energy
Max Singer is an independent consultant on Commission.
public policy and Senior Fellow at the
Hudson Institute in the U.S. and at the BESA Mr. Singer now lives in Jerusalem, Israel
Institute of Bar Ilan University as well as and Chevy Chase, Md. and is a citizen of
the Institute for Policy and Strategy of the both countries. He and his wife, Suzanne
IDC in Israel. Fried Singer, an editor of Biblical
Archaeology Review and of Moment
He was a founder with Herman Kahn of the Magazine, have been married since 1959
Hudson Institute in 1961 and it’s President and have had four sons.
until 1973. He continues as a Senior Fellow
and Member of the Board of Directors of
Hudson. From 1974-1976 he was Managing
Director of the World Institute in Jerusalem,
and in 1977-8 Director of the Institute for
Jewish Policy Planning and Research of the
Synagogue Council of America.

13
Examples of Testing Procedures:

a. Simulation Exercise b. Competing Scenarios

This mechanism, commonly used in "Planning by Scenarios" was developed as

international corporate and military planning, a tool for decision making by the business
is a rarity in Israeli civilian life. A group of and corporate world. The first massive use
accomplished individuals active in relevant of this tool was done by the Management of
areas are brought together for secluded the Dutch based Shell Oil Corporation in
deliberations over the course of a few days. consultation with the Hudson Institute, and
Usually they are divided into distinct groups, many attribute the Company’s success in the
each dedicated to, and if possible identified early 80 s to this fact. During that period,
with, a particular interest. Shell made significant business decisions
based on its examination of more than one
(Thus, for example, had the proposed plan possible scenario for future developments.
for Israel s anti-terror fence been tested in
advance, separate groups might have been As a result, one of the contingencies planned
charged with representing the Palestinians, for was a reduction in oil prices. The
the administration in Washington, the U.S. universal consensus at the time of the original
Congress and American public opinion, the planning was for a continued rise in prices,
UN, Europe and the EU, the coalition and Shell’s alternative planning allowed it
partners in Iraq, Israeli Arabs, and perhaps to prosper when the oil prices in fact tumbled,
others.) Each group is given a copy of the causing widespread economic harm to its
proposed policy and asked to develop its competitors.
reactions, supporting rationales, and
alternative courses of action. This history demonstrates the main utility
of the methodology. The future presents
Guided by experienced professionals, the more than one possibility and it is advisable
process is designed to test a political program to relate seriously to as many of those as
against the challenges it will inevitably possible.
confront once publicly proposed and then,
once adopted. It can be compared with the Relying on only one possibility can lead to
final wind-tunnel and flight tests of a new error or even disaster, so that considering
aircraft. Sometimes it results in the discarding alternative possibilities inevitably will
of a policy or program. Usually it prompts prepare one better for the future.*
substantive changes in the program s
conception. It always reveals unanticipated A prominent and very successful application
problems and complexities. of this Planning by Scenarios methodology
to the societal-political context occurred in
the "Mont Fleur’ project of South Africa, an
attempt to forge a national consensus there
surrounding the change in regime from the

14
white dominated Apartheid to a multi-racial
democracy.

Representatives from all parties and groups

participated in an effort lead by an appointee
of the German Foundation, Friedrich Ebert,
which sponsored the project. The group
concluded that many different alternatives
were available to the new regime, but that a
populist solution was bound to fail, and that
the best policy would be phased progress
towards the eventual equitable distribution
of societal assets among the various groups.

This conclusion was made possible because

the forum decided neither to devote its efforts
towards bridging the differences among the
groups nor to trying to agree on the best
option or on a consensus option.

It elected, instead, to devote its efforts to

determining a number of possible options
available to the new government. This
required each group to consider possibilities
raised by others which it regarded as unlikely
or undesirable.

*This description is based on the Background

essay by Dr. Yossi Rein and Lieutenant-General
(Ret.) Yonatan Learner which prefaces The
Friedrich Ebert Stiftung publication, Israel in
2025

15
Examples which illustrate that the Current •The Palestinian and Arab falsification of
Discussion is a Controlled and Contrived history to deny ancient Jewish connection
Discourse to the land goes unchallenged by the world.

•No objection is made to Arab claims to • The Arabs have rejected each opportunity
make all its territory Judenrein. to resolve the dispute by territorial
compromise - in 1936, 1947, 1949, 1967,
•No objection is made to the crime of and in 2000.
the Arab policy of refusing to settle
Arab refugees from Israel, keeping them •A series of peace processes have been
as pawns in the Arabs’ war against Israel imposed on Israel by diplomats and
through three generations and fifty years governments, including the U.S., who
after all other refugees from that period knew or should have known that they
have been settled. had no chance of success and that these
attempts harmed Israel.
• The world continues to deny Israel the
right to have its capital in Jerusalem. • Terrorism, increasingly, is perceived and
defined so as to place Arab and Islamic
•The United Nations regularly violates its terrorism against Israeli women and
own rules, ignoring facts and law, to children in a separate category, somehow
deny Israel s rights and to support the less heinous than other manifestations of
Palestinian cause because there are more terrorism.
Arab and Muslim states than Jewish
ones and because they have oil and
other leverages of power.

•Human rights organizations and the

international political discourse refuse
to recognize the lengths to which Israel
goes to protect Palestinian lives and
interests while protecting it from illegal
Palestinian terrorist attacks. A grotesque
symmetry is applied between the acts
of wanton terror and attempts to
prevent these acts of terror.

16